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Qualcomm’s Bold Strategy: Diversifying from Smartphones to Lead in Cars, PCs, and IoT by 2030

Emilia Wright | November 22, 2024

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This Tech Giant is Racing Now to Boost Growth and Reduce Its Dependence on Apple

Qualcomm Sees Its Future in Cars, Laptops, and the Internet of Things

Qualcomm Inc., a leading semiconductor company based in San Diego, is undergoing a significant transformation aimed at redefining its future amidst a rapidly changing technology landscape. Under the leadership of Chief Executive Cristiano Amon, Qualcomm has successfully doubled its market capitalization over the past five years, soaring from $70 billion to approximately $170 billion-$180 billion. However, the stakes are high as the company seeks to diversify away from its overwhelming reliance on the Android smartphone market, particularly in light of ongoing concerns about its relationship with Apple.

Finding the Next Big Thing

Qualcomm’s expansion strategy adopts a four-step approach that Amon outlined for investors recently:

  1. Identify industries with substantial addressable markets undergoing significant transitions;
  2. Pinpoint technological inflection points driving that disruption;
  3. Develop or acquire leading technologies that can differentiate;
  4. Scale rapidly to capture market share.

This strategy is perhaps most pronounced in the automotive sector, where Qualcomm has positioned itself as a leader in the midst of a fundamental industry transformation. As vehicles evolve into software-defined computing spaces with a plethora of sensors, Qualcomm introduced its Snapdragon Digital Chassis platform, which combines silicon and software solutions. The company’s acquisition of Arriver has enhanced its capabilities in computer vision and driver-assistance technologies, contributing to a robust $45 billion design pipeline that speaks to the early success of this strategy.

Aiming for the PC Market

In addition to the automotive sector, Qualcomm is ambitiously expanding its reach into the PC market, targeting the emerging AI PC segment. By leveraging its Hexagon NPU-dedicated AI processor technology alongside Oryon CPU cores acquired from Nuvia, Qualcomm aims to carve out a significant position in this niche. Although current shipments and revenue figures remain uncertain, Qualcomm projects that this product line could generate $4 billion in revenue within five years, addressing a total addressable market estimated at $35 billion for AI PC silicon.

Insights from Alex Katouzian, general manager for mobile, compute, XR, and wearables at Qualcomm, suggest that the company is increasingly focusing on commercial and enterprise markets. Microsoft’s support in promoting Snapdragon-powered devices has been critical, with early adopters such as Citigroup demonstrating successful applications of on-device AI capabilities. Notably, the influx of additional Original Equipment Manufacturer (OEM) design wins, ranging from budget laptops to premium devices, indicates positive momentum for future revenue increases.

Beyond PCs: Extended Reality and Industry Applications

Qualcomm’s platforms are also emerging as the de facto standard for virtual and augmented reality (XR) devices. The success of Meta Platform’s Ray-Ban smart glasses, which utilize Snapdragon technology, has exceeded expectations, further solidifying Qualcomm’s influence in this domain. In the industrial sector, the company is riding the wave of increasing demand for on-device AI processing and is positioning its technology as vital infrastructure for smart manufacturing and industrial automation.

2030 Vision and Future Prospects

Qualcomm’s ambitious vision includes achieving a 50/50 revenue split between handset sales and its automotive and Internet of Things divisions—including PC, XR, and industrial applications—by 2030. The company has demonstrated remarkable revenue growth over the last five years and now faces the challenge of replicating this success in the coming years. However, with a clear roadmap, proven strategy, and a leadership team aligned with these objectives, Qualcomm appears well-positioned to reach its targets.

In conclusion, Qualcomm’s transformation from a communication-centric company to a computing powerhouse represents a significant shift not just in diversification but in its conceptual role within the technology ecosystem. The company is taking deliberate steps to chart its own course and strategically target market segments where its expertise in efficient computing and connectivity can deliver unique value. With these plans in motion, Qualcomm is not just aiming for growth but is also redefining the contours of its future.